THE OPERATING
LANDSCAPE
According to the World Economic
Outlook, the global economic growth
is projected to reach 3.1% in 2024.
Asia will likely to be the fastest-
growing region and will continue to
drive global growth, expanding by
5.4%. Among the major economies,
the United States is expected to
witness a mild contraction of 0.2%
in 2023, in the United Kingdom a
contraction of 0.5%, while the Europe
is likely to see an overall modest
expansion of 0.4%.
POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC
LANDSCAPE
GLOBAL CONTEXT
BoC continuously monitors the operating
environment using a PESTEL framework to
identify material risks and opportunities that
may affect its ability to generate value in the
short, medium, and long term. Following are
the critical factors that influenced the Bank's
performance and strategy during the year.
According to the World Economic
Outlook, the global economic growth
is projected to reach 3.1% in 2024.
Asia will likely to be the fastest-
growing region and will continue to
drive global growth, expanding by
5.4%. Among the major economies,
the United States is expected to
witness a mild contraction of 0.2%
in 2023, in the United Kingdom a
contraction of 0.5%, while the Europe
is likely to see an overall modest
expansion of 0.4%.
Global headline inflation is expected
to fall from 6.8% in 2023 to 5.2% in
2024. Price pressures are still elevated
in many countries and any further
escalation of geopolitical conflicts
in the Middle East poses a threat to
increase in inflation.
After facing an extremely challenging period in 2022, Sri Lanka has
demonstrated resilience and stability, on many economic fronts, as a result
of timely implementation of effective macroeconomic policies and structural
reforms.
Domestic economic activity, which saw a contraction in the first quarter of 2023
has rebounded, supported by the easing of monetary conditions and growth
supportive policies implemented by the GOSL, enabling the domestic economy
to achieve sustainable levels of growth.
After reaching a peak of 73.7% headline (consumer) inflation in 2022, Sri Lanka
is witnessing a gradual moderation of prices, with a reduction in aggregate
demand, boosts in local supply-chain production, and a normalisation of global
commodity prices, which has all led to the dis-inflationary process.
A stabilisation of domestic inflation is expected to enhance the purchasing
power of economic agents and improve their debt repayment capacities.
As Sri Lanka recovers from a tough year, the Rupee in 2023 showed signs of
gradual appreciation. This signals for judicious planning to steer the country
towards sustained economic growth.
Sri Lanka’s official reserves stood at USD 3.7 billion in November and exceeded
USD 4.3 billion in December 2023 - the highest level since the country plunged
into an economic crisis.
Sri Lanka’s performance under the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
programme was satisfactory, providing the country with access to Special
Drawing Rights (SDR) in support of country’s economic policies and reforms,
leading to a restoration of debt sustainability, raising revenue, rebuilding
reserves buffers, reducing inflation, and safeguarding financial stability.
LOCAL CONTEXT
Receiving the first tranche and the anticipated second tranche of the IMF bailout package after meeting IMF conditions has
signaled to the international community that Sri Lanka is on its path towards economic recovery, and can re-establish its
economic heydays, as a trailblasing Asian nation.
BANKING INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
The banking sector remained resilient despite the contraction anticipated for 2023, which was less severe with the gradual
easing of the monetary policy. Macro-economic policy reforms are bearing fruit, and the economy is showing tentative signs of
stabilisation.
ASSET BASE
2023
20.4 trillion
19.4 trillion
2022
Total assets (LKR)
2023
11.0 trillion
11.3 trillion
2022
LENDING PORTFOLIO
Gross loans and advances (LKR)
QUARTERLY REAL GDP GROWTH
GDP Growth
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
INFLATION: Y-O-Y %
CHANGE IN CCPI AND NCPI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
NCPI (2021=100)
CCPI (2021=100)
LENDING AND DEPOSIT RATES
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Dec-22
Mar-23
Jun-23
Sep-23
Dec-23
AWDR
AWPR
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
FUNDING
Deposits (LKR)
2023
16.6 trillion
15.3 trillion
2022
PROFITABILITY
Profit before tax (LKR)
2023
294.4 billion
177.8 billion
2022
The recovery of the Sri Lankan economy in the short to medium term depends on the successful continuation of the policy
reforms underpinned by the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement obtained from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
This requires credible actions to improve fiscal performance and strengthen external sector buffers, while ensuring price
stability and financial system stability.
The gradual normalisation of market lending interest rates and improvements in investor and business confidence are
expected to support the expansion of credit to the private sector going forward.
To ensure that banks are adequately capitalised, the CBSL is in a stringent process of evaluation to identify the adequacy of
capital for future developments in banks. Furthermore, broad guidelines are expected to be issued by CBSL to strengthen the
role of licensed banks in the sustainable revival of businesses, especially Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) and corporates,
and to ensure the assets quality is maintained.
IMPACT TO BOC
•
The IMF-led domestic debt optimisation strategy as well as the restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) could
affect the banking sector balance sheet.
•
The benchmark interest rates were lowered for the first time in three years, creating opportunity for the growth of the loan
book.
•
Insufficient funds in the inter-bank market hampering inter-bank borrowing.
R1
R2
R3
R4
RELATED
RISKS
RELATED MATERIAL
THEMES
M1
OUR RESPONSE
•
Provided funds to major SOEs in energy and pharmaceutical sectors, considering the overall national interest.
•
Timely support to customers facing pressure in repaying their loans.
•
Strengthened our focus on preserving liquidity.
•
Reliance on predictive forecasts to prioritise commitments and ensure facilitation of essential imports.
THE OPERATING LANDSCAPE
CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY
Statutory Liquid Assets Ratio
Tier 1 Capital Ratio
Capital Adequecy Ratio
2023
46.7%
29.8%
2022
2023
13.8%
13.1%
2022
2023
16.9%
16.1%
2022
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
THE EVOLVING SOCIAL CONTEXT
Sluggish economic growth, high inflation, and tax hikes have led to greater pressure on livelihoods, income and socio-economic
disparities. Vulnerable populations including the elderly, children, and persons with disabilities are particularly at risk of poverty
and social exclusion, requiring targeted social assistance and support mechanisms.
Outward migration also continued to grow particularly among the younger demographic, resulting in drain of skilled personnel.
IMPACT TO BOC
•
Increased credit risk due to reduced repayment capability of borrowers, resulting in adverse effects on portfolio quality.
•
Migration of skilled workers and the brain drain has led to high staff-turnover, resulting in a lack of employees with specialised
skills in the banking industry.
•
The flow of remittances increased during 2023, due to improved exchange rates and expatriates sending more
earnings, which has a positive impact on the Bank.
M4
R1
R4
R5
RELATED
RISKS
RELATED MATERIAL
THEMES
M3
OUR RESPONSE
•
The Bank did not curtail any financial or non-financial benefits to employees and took steps to match the Cost-of-Living
Allowance (COLA) in line with the rising inflation.
•
Supporting customer priorities and the needs of the Nation and enhanced customer loyalty.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
Digital transformation in Sri Lanka continued to gain momentum, driven by technological advancements, changing consumer
behaviour, and Government initiatives to promote digitalisation across various sectors. The year witnessed the convergence of
Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, Cloud Computing and Big Data - influencing the country’s business and economic landscape.
A significant growth was also recorded in mobile and internet penetration rates, with a large percentage of the population
accessing the internet via smartphones and mobile devices. Technology companies are increasingly innovating in areas such as
digital banking, peer-to-peer lending, mobile payments, and remittances offering alternatives to traditional banking services,
promoting financial inclusion and driving efficiency in financial transactions and services.
IMPACT TO BOC
•
The digitalisation of financial services is transforming how banks operate. Hence, the Bank is in pursuit of improving its
processes through automations and system enhancements.
•
Alongside increased digitalisation the risk of cyber-attacks and fraud has also increased beckoning for tighter IT security
infrastructure.
R4
R5
RELATED
RISKS
RELATED MATERIAL
THEMES
M1
OUR RESPONSE
•
Improved digital penetration and digital literacy of the customer base.
•
Leveraged technology for increased process efficiencies and cost savings.
•
Strengthened IT security and governance protocols.
REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS
The Bank operates in a highly regulated environment where new regulatory requirements were introduced frequently to
safeguard the stability of the financial sector including;
- Restricting discretionary payments of Licensed Commercial Banks (LCBs),
- Margin requirements against imports and maximum interest rates on certain lending products,
- Requesting LCBs to reduce the interest rates of lending products.
- Limitation in borrowings.
IMPACT TO BOC
•
Increased regulatory oversight and reporting.
•
Increased cost of compliance.
R1
R2
R4
R3
R5
RELATED
RISKS
RELATED MATERIAL
THEMES
M2
OUR RESPONSE
•
Adhered and complied with the Directions/ Guidelines issued by CBSL for LCBs and the circulars issued by Ministry of Finance.
•
Complied with the standards and guidelines issued by professional bodies and relevant institutions.
CLIMATE ACTION
As a small island and a developing nation, Sri Lanka is highly vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change and the
consequences of climate change such as temperature rise, rainfall variability and sea level rise affect almost all economic sectors
of the country.
Sri Lanka’s Climate Prosperity Plan, which was launched at the U.N. Climate Change Conference in November 2022, aims to
stimulate climate protection and promote risk-informed investment with a commitment to developing a strategy of accelerated
adaptation of sectors most exposed to climate risks such as agriculture or fisheries, together with a comprehensive risk financing
strategy.
IMPACT TO BOC
•
As a Bank, we are under increasing pressure to address critical environmental issues facing the world today, and are required
to place emphasis on sustainable lending, emissions reduction strategies and climate adaptation and mitigation.
•
As customer awareness on environmental implications increases, there is greater expectation from multilateral and bilateral
lenders for responsible lending decisions that include social and environmental considerations.
R1
R4
R5
RELATED
RISKS
RELATED MATERIAL
THEMES
M4
OUR RESPONSE
•
Developed new banking solutions to address climate change related risks and support climate resilience.
•
Incorporated more green concepts into our sustainability agenda.
•
Continuously embedded social and environmental sustainability considerations into strategy and decision making.
•
Aligned our actions with the 17 SDGs to promote prosperity and protect the planet.
THE OPERATING LANDSCAPE